"Get your facts first, and then you can distort them as much as you please." (Mark Twain)

Friday, July 14, 2006

"A War Between Lunatics" 

Billmon has the definitive word on what's happening in Israel and Lebanon right now. My only complaint about his analysis is that it mentions only in passing what appears to me to be the biggest danger - that Iran and Syria will be brought into the conflict in a major way (note that some reputable journalists, without obvious evidence, are already claiming that Iran is pulling the strings).

I don't know which is worse - the possibility that this assertion is true, or the possibility that it is false but presumed to be true. Either way, the likely result is open hostility between the US/Israel axis on one hand, and the dominant regional superpower (that would be Iran, thanks to "Dick" Cheney's rank incompetence) along with her ally of convenience (Syria) on the other. If this scenario should come to pass, then everything's in play - for example, the governments of Jordan and (especially) Egypt might find themselves in very precarious positions.




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