"Get your facts first, and then you can distort them as much as you please." (Mark Twain)

Thursday, June 30, 2005

Summertime, and the Recruiting Is Easy 

This certainly appears to be good news:
Army recruiters enlisted 6,157 new soldiers this month, 507 more than its goal, Army officials said Wednesday.

The June surplus breaks a string of four straight months in which the Army missed it goals by wide margins.

But, as several observers have already noted (Kos, Swopa, Attaturk, etc.), this "good news" is really nothing of the sort. In fact, the USA Today article cited above spells it out rather succinctly:
The Army's success in June can be partly attributed to modest expectations. The June 2005 goal was more than 1,000 recruits lower than the June 2004 goal.

Despite the improvement, the Army has only three months left to recruit the soldiers needed to meet its yearly goal. That's an average of nearly 11,000 per month.

Through the first nine months of this fiscal year, the Army has averaged about 5,200 recruits a month....

The June numbers, while an improvement over the four previous months, also were not anywhere near the 8,086 recruits the Army brought in during January. That's despite offering enlistments as short as 15 months and bonuses as high as $20,000 for some who join.

Along the same lines, and on a personal note, I am happy to report that I beat my monthly income target of $82.79 in June. Obviously, I am rapidly becoming a wealthy man.




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